Betting advice from IRQH

Over the past ~6 months or so, I've managed to make ~$7,500 from CS:GO Lounge, peaking at around the $9,000 mark. I used to write advice on reddit for fun, and ended up making a hobby out of all of this. There's really nothing that interesting about me now, other than the fact that I don't really bet high amounts of money anymore, but I just buy quicksells and sell them for profit.

I figured that with all the time I'm spending on this and the helpfulness I'm giving to the majority of people that I might as well make a paid advice group. The knowledge and advice I have to give on the games are agruably worth many times more the cost of the group, and I might as well make some money while doing the things I like to do.

This free group will cover some games and will give some pointers on games, but I won't be posting that often - regardless, having something is better than nothing!

When I post, just check the "annoucements" tab - info on games will be there!

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近期公告

NA bets of 5/3/2015

2015 年 5 月 3 日 - S40T5UN3NJ0Y3R | 2 条留言

Lunatik vs. L1, TBD BO1

Expected lineup
L1: Naotu, pross*, WTFender, gogix}, dixooN
Lunatik: draek sen, Tvu, scoutz, draWsouL, inVert

Lounge odds/my odds
Insider only

Notes
In all honesty I don’t really know what to write for this BO1, other than the fact that L1 beat Noble recently and some other NA unknowns - there really isn’t much to say about them. LTK on the other hand is a decent team in premier, but I wouldn’t put them so highly in a BO1 where the match format will favor the underdog.

Map choice is probably going to be important here (although nobody knows what L1 really wants to have), but the map is TBD - only even further helping the underdog. Who knows LTK can stomp, L1 could stomp, or we could just see a very close game. I’m not sure at all about what the result is, but based on what I’ve been reading I would favor LTK slightly.

Recommendation
Insider only

Lunatik vs. The Flying V, TBD BO2

Expected lineup
LunatiK: inVert, scoutz, draek, tovu, draWsouL
vVv: Funshine, no_one, jayy, FADE, DYNAMO

Lounge odds/my odds
Insider only

Notes
If I were still betting on CS:GO Lounge (I bet on Vulcun now), I would probably max bet/high bet on TFV, or just skip. Why? Looking at both teams past matches, it’s pretty clear that The Flying V is the better premier team of the two - they’ve taken down invite teams before, consistently have a solid performance against other premier teams, and are just overall more proven than Lunatik.

That being said though, the next realistic outcome of this match would be a 1/1, and would happen if TFV is underperforming slightly (while LTK play well). The least most likely outcome is a 2/0 in favor of LTK, and it just doesn’t seem so likely to anyone who’s been watching these teams in the past few months; TFV is just the better team in my opinion.

Recommendation
Insider only

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EU bets of 5/1/2015

2015 年 5 月 1 日 - S40T5UN3NJ0Y3R | 1 条留言

Liquid vs. Immunity, TBD BO3

Expected lineup
iM: Rickeh, James, emagine, USTILO, SnypeR
Liquid: nitr0, adreN, FugLy, EliGE, daps

Lounge odds/my odds
Insider only

Notes/thoughts
Based on what I’ve been watching off these two teams, I’d have to say that this BO3 should come pretty close. While Liquid is one of NA’s best teams, you can’t really deny that Immunity will be a solid contender coming into this BO3.

If I have to give an edge to anyone though, it would probably be TL. IMHO this will be a 3 map BO3 though, and I would only really recommend a ~low bet on whoever you bet on. It’s probably better for the odds later to bet small on Immunity, but that’s up to you and where the odds end up going~

Last note with the “NA strats are differing from AUS strats”, I really can’t tell who would win in a BO3 with maps :S

Recommendation
Insider only

NiP vs. Fnatic, TBD BO3

Expected lineup
NiP: GeT_RiGhT allu Xizt f0rest friberg
fnatic: JW KRIMZ pronax flusha olofmeister

Lounge odds/my odds
Insider only

Notes/thoughts
In all honesty I’m just expecting odds to further skew in favor of Fnatic as the day later goes on - Fnatic odds these past 2 months really have had me confused lately.

To make this short though, this is a top T1 vs. top T1 matchup - basically this BO3 should come close. These two teams lately have been battling out on who is superior over the other, with no team really being decisive over the other in wins. I would say that both teams currently have the same amount of inconsistency, so there really isn’t any decisive winner - we’ve seen both FNC and NiP choke in the past.

Recommendation
Insider only