Blue Protocol: Star Resonance

Blue Protocol: Star Resonance

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Drop Rates Explained (For the Average Player)
由 Symphatic 制作
This guide breaks down how drop rates actually work in the game, using real math to show the odds of getting rare items like the Boarlet mounts and the Shadow Hunter Set. It explains the difference between chance per run and total probability, and includes clear tables showing how many runs or kills you might need to have a 50%, 90%, or 99% chance of seeing a drop at least once.

If you have ever wondered why you still have not gotten your drop after hundreds of runs, this guide explains it in plain English.
   
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Drop Rates Explained
Every time you kill a boss or finish a run, the game rolls a dice behind the scenes. Each drop has its own small chance to appear. It does not matter how many times you have tried before. The odds never change. There is no pity system, and the game does not "owe" you a drop just because you have done it a hundred times.
Example Drop Chances
Item
Drop Rate
Odds
What It Means
Loyal Boarlet
0.2%
1 in 500
You would expect to see one about once every 500 kills.
Gold Nappo
0.2%
1 in 500
Same as Loyal Boarlet.
Lovely Boarlet
0.4%
1 in 250
Around once every 250 kills.
Breezy Boarlet
0.4%
1 in 250
Same as Lovely Boarlet.
Silver Nappo
0.4%
1 in 250
Same as Lovely Boarlet.
Shadow Hunter Set
<1%
About 1 in 100 or worse
Could take hundreds of runs per piece you focus.
Expected Runs to Probably See One
This shows how many runs or kills it might take to see at least one drop. This is probability, not a guarantee.

Drop Rate
50% Chance
90% Chance
99% Chance
1% (1/100)
69 runs
230 runs
459 runs
0.4% (1/250)
173 kills
575 kills
1,149 kills
0.2% (1/500)
347 kills
1,151 kills
2,301 kills
TL;DR
  • Each run has the same odds. The game never keeps track of how unlucky you are.
  • A 50% chance means you are just as likely to have it as not.
  • A 90% chance means most players should have seen it by now, but some still will not.
  • Luck can swing hard both ways. You could get it first try or after 2,000 attempts.